Precious metals posted modest declines on Monday as diplomatic maneuvering around the Iran-Hormuz conflict and the first full pricing of Friday's payrolls beat weighed on safe-haven demand. Gold eased -0.57% to $4,661.93, its third consecutive decline from the $4,769 peak reached last Wednesday. Silver was essentially unchanged at $73.55. Platinum slipped -0.45% to $1,997.10, and palladium declined -1.32% to $1,504.50.
President Trump extended his Hormuz deadline to 8:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, April 7. The extension came as Pakistan presented a two-tiered ceasefire framework -- referred to as the "Islamabad Accord" -- calling for an immediate halt to hostilities and a pathway to a permanent settlement. Trump, speaking at the White House Easter Egg Roll, described the Iranian proposal as "significant" and "a very big move," but said it was "not good enough." A White House official confirmed that "Operation Epic Fury continues" and that Trump had not endorsed the proposed 45-day ceasefire.
The geopolitical backdrop remained volatile. U.S. and Israeli forces conducted strikes that killed more than 25 people in Iran on Monday, while Iran retaliated with missile attacks on Israel -- resulting in at least two fatalities in Haifa -- and targeted oil refineries across Gulf Arab nations. Brent crude traded near $109.90 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate near $111.63, down from Sunday evening highs above $114 but still elevated relative to pre-conflict levels. Despite active conflict, precious metals failed to rally, as ceasefire optimism and stronger-than-expected March labor market data weighed on safe-haven demand.
U.S. equities advanced modestly for a fourth consecutive session, with the S&P 500 and Dow each gaining approximately 0.2% and the Nasdaq adding 0.3%, on cautious optimism over a ceasefire. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.34%, up two basis points from Thursday's close, as the March payrolls beat of 178,000 reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate relief. The dollar index held near 100.2, providing resistance for gold bars and silver coins. Platinum retreated as risk-on sentiment briefly favored industrial metals, only for ceasefire uncertainty to reassert itself late in the session.
Metal | Spot Price | Daily Change |
$4,661.93 | -0.57% | |
$73.55 | +0.00% | |
$1,997.10 | -0.45% | |
$1,504.50 | -1.32% |
Trump Extends Deadline; "Islamabad Accord" Ceasefire Proposal Under Review
Trump pushed his Hormuz deadline to 8:00 p.m. ET Tuesday after Pakistan's two-tiered ceasefire framework was received by both the U.S. and Iran. Trump called it "a very big move" but "not good enough." Operation Epic Fury continues, with Trump threatening strikes on Iranian power plants and bridges if no deal is reached by Tuesday evening.
Active Strikes and Retaliatory Fire Continue
U.S. and Israeli forces struck targets in Iran on Monday, killing more than 25 people. Iran retaliated with missiles on Israel, causing at least two fatalities in Haifa, and targeted Gulf Arab oil refineries. Brent crude held near $109.90 per barrel and WTI near $111.63, off Sunday highs above $114.
March NFP Beat Prices In; Yields Rise
The 178,000 March payrolls print registered its first full market reaction on Monday. The data reduced Fed rate-cut expectations, lifting the 10-year yield to 4.34% and strengthening the dollar index to near 100.2, both of which are headwinds for non-yielding precious metals.
Trump's April 7 Deadline (Tuesday 8 PM ET)
Tuesday's deadline is the most immediate catalyst for all risk assets. Escalation leading to strikes on Iranian power plants and bridges could spark a sharp safe-haven rally in precious metals. A ceasefire agreement carries the opposite risk as conflict-driven premiums unwind.
March CPI (Wednesday)
The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the March Consumer Price Index on Wednesday, amid the ISM prices-paid index at 78.3 -- its highest since June 2022 -- and elevated energy costs tied to the Hormuz closure. A hotter-than-expected print reinforces the inflation-hedge case for gold and silver.
Fed Speakers and FOMC Minutes
Fed Chair Powell speaks this week alongside the release of March FOMC minutes. Markets monitor any shift from Powell's "wait and see" posture, given Friday's strong payrolls data and elevated oil-driven inflationary pressures.
Disclaimer: This market update is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Precious metals investing involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Prices shown are sourced from texmetals.com and are subject to change.